Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lahti are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while GrIFK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (79.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00