Krasnodarvs
Zenit Saint Petersburg
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krasnodar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krasnodar 2-3 Zenit Saint Petersburg
Original prediction
Krasnodar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 33.3% | 37.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 37.8% | 34.0% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Krasnodar
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00