GGOALVIO

FC Krasnodar logoFC KrasnodarvsSpartak Moscow logoSpartak Moscow

COMPLETED

Russia · Cup · 7/27/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Krasnodar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Spartak Moscow are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Cup, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC KrasnodarWDWDW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Spartak MoscowWWDWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC KrasnodarSpartak Moscow
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power88.7
1.19xG1.44
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