GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/4/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Krasnodar · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FC Krasnodar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nizhny Novgorod are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Krasnodar hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the Premier League, while FC Krasnodar holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Krasnodar

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC KrasnodarWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nizhny NovgorodDDLLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FC KrasnodarNizhny Novgorod
100.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence44.8
100.0Form34.4
86.5Power39.7
2.17xG0.76
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