GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 7/30/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Krasnodar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FC Krasnodar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Sochi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Krasnodar hold a 47.6-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Premier League, while FC Krasnodar holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Krasnodar

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC KrasnodarLWDWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC SochiWWDWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC KrasnodarFC Sochi
100.0Attack41.1
50.0Defence46.7
100.0Form26.7
86.5Power38.9
2.10xG0.94
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