FC Krasnodarvs
FC Rostov
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Krasnodar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Krasnodar 1-0 FC Rostov
Original prediction
FC Krasnodar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 55.9% | 47.6% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 25.1% | 26.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 19.0% | 26.3% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Krasnodar
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00