FC Krasnodarvs
Fakel
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/13/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Krasnodar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Krasnodar 0-2 Fakel
Original prediction
FC Krasnodar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 68.8% | 51.1% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.77 | 19.6% | 26.3% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 8.08 | 11.6% | 22.6% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
FC Krasnodar
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20