FC Krasnodarvs
Baltika
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Krasnodar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Krasnodar 1-1 Baltika
Original prediction
FC Krasnodar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 53.0% | 49.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.6% | 26.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.65 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Krasnodar
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00