FC Krasnodarvs
Akron
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Krasnodar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Krasnodar 1-1 Akron
Original prediction
FC Krasnodar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 72.7% | 59.0% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.62 | 16.9% | 22.1% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 9.04 | 10.5% | 18.9% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
FC Krasnodar
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40