FC Koln Wvs
Union Berlin W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Koln W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Koln W 3-0 Union Berlin W
Original prediction
FC Koln W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.4% | 51.4% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.2% | 24.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.4% | 24.4% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
FC Koln W
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
FC Koln W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40