FC Koln Wvs
SC Freiburg W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Koln W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Koln W 0-1 SC Freiburg W
Original prediction
FC Koln W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.0% | 51.0% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.2% | 23.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 18.7% | 25.5% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
FC Koln W
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
FC Koln W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40