FC Koln Wvs
Hamburger SV W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Koln W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Koln W 3-1 Hamburger SV W
Original prediction
FC Koln W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.2% | 49.9% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.6% | 23.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 5.51 | 16.2% | 26.6% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
FC Koln W
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
FC Koln W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20