FC Koln Wvs
1899 Hoffenheim W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Koln W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Koln W 1-0 1899 Hoffenheim W
Original prediction
FC Koln W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.1% | 38.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.7% | 26.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.2% | 35.4% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Koln W
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
FC Koln W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00