GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Kharkiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: FC Kharkiv 1-0 Livyi Bereh, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Kharkiv 2-1 Livyi Bereh

Original prediction

FC Kharkiv

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4961.7%59.4%-2.2 pts
Draw4.0322.9%25.2%2.3 pts
Away5.9515.5%15.4%-0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.2 pts

Projected Score

FC Kharkiv 1–0 Livyi Bereh

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

FC Kharkiv

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

FC Kharkiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC KharkivWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Livyi BerehLWLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC KharkivLivyi Bereh
66.7Attack19.0
76.2Defence71.4
71.4Form28.6
69.9Power41.7
1.42xG0.48
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