GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Kharkiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Kharkiv 2-0 Bukovyna

Original prediction

FC Kharkiv

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7353.1%46.0%-7.1 pts
Draw3.5525.9%27.5%1.5 pts
Away4.4020.9%26.5%5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

FC Kharkiv

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

FC Kharkiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC KharkivWWWWL

GF 19 · GA 1 · avg 3.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
BukovynaDDDWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC KharkivBukovyna
100.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form66.7
98.0Power71.2
1.48xG0.97
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