FC Juarezvs
Tigres UANL
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres UANL · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Juarez 2-0 Tigres UANL
Original prediction
Tigres UANL
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.97 | 23.5% | 20.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.5% | 23.8% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 50.0% | 55.7% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Tigres UANL
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Tigres UANL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60