FC Juarezvs
Club Tijuana
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Tijuana · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Juarez 1-1 Club Tijuana
Original prediction
Club Tijuana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 32.6% | 22.2% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.2% | 23.8% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 39.2% | 54.1% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Club Tijuana
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20