FC Juarezvs
CF Pachuca
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Pachuca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Juarez 0-2 CF Pachuca
Original prediction
CF Pachuca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 26.2% | 23.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.4% | 24.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 46.4% | 52.4% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
CF Pachuca
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
CF Pachuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40