FC Juarezvs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Juarez 0-1 Atlante FC
Original prediction
Atlante FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 29.4% | 21.6% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 27.0% | 23.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 43.6% | 55.0% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Atlante FC
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00