FC Jerusalemvs
Maccabi Yavne
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Jerusalem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Jerusalem 1-1 Maccabi Yavne
Original prediction
FC Jerusalem
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.5% | 43.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.7% | 27.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 32.9% | 28.9% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Jerusalem
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
FC Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80