Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC jazz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC jazz 0-2 VJS
Original prediction
FC jazz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.6% | 40.6% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 23.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.8% | 36.1% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC jazz
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
FC jazz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC jazzWWDWD
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VJSWLDDW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC jazzVJS
50.7Attack58.0
58.0Defence53.6
52.2Form49.3
54.2Power54.3
1.55xG1.36