Ykkönen
FC jazz
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TPV
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesFC jazzTPVProbability breakdown
TPV leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
FC jazz head into this in Ykkönen fixture at Porin Stadion in mixed form (DL), while TPV arrive in mixed form (W). FC jazz have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for TPV over 1 games.
Both sides are defensively strong — FC jazz (66/100) and TPV (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.
FC jazz have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. TPV have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.
There is no head-to-head data between FC jazz and TPV in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects TPV to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: FC jazz 3503%, Draw 2897%, TPV 3600%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
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FC jazz
TPV
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC jazz vs TPV?
GoalVio's model predicts TPV to win with 37% confidence.
What is the predicted score for FC jazz vs TPV?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in FC jazz vs TPV?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC jazz vs TPV?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.