Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC jazz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rops are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
10.2%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40