Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC jazz are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while PKKU are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
12.1%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40