GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC jazz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC jazz 2-2 KuPS Akatemia

Original prediction

FC jazz

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5558.5%64.8%6.3 pts
Draw4.5420.0%16.8%-3.2 pts
Away4.2021.6%18.4%-3.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

FC jazz

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

FC jazz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC jazzLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KuPS AkatemiaLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC jazzKuPS Akatemia
50.0Attack53.8
51.3Defence19.2
50.0Form19.2
51.0Power32.7
2.82xG1.39
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