Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC jazz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC jazz 3-0 KPV-j
Original prediction
FC jazz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.6% | 76.0% | 13.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.76 | 19.0% | 13.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.4% | 10.2% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
FC jazz
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
76.0%
FC jazz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC jazzWDWDD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
KPV-jLLWLL
GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC jazzKPV-j
48.5Attack36.4
56.1Defence0.0
50.0Form22.7
52.4Power22.8
2.99xG0.82