GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/1/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Isloch Minsk R. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Isloch Minsk R. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dinamo Brest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Isloch Minsk R. hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Premier League, while FC Isloch Minsk R. holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Isloch Minsk R.

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

FC Isloch Minsk R. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Isloch Minsk R.DLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo BrestLDWWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
FC Isloch Minsk R.Dinamo Brest
62.2Attack56.9
71.1Defence70.6
68.9Form58.8
67.9Power61.7
1.20xG0.88
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