FC Isloch Minsk R.vs
Arsenal
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 9/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Isloch Minsk R. · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: FC Isloch Minsk R. 2-0 Arsenal, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Isloch Minsk R. 1-1 Arsenal
Original prediction
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 72.2% | 66.6% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 19.0% | 20.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 10.49 | 8.8% | 13.3% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Projected Score
FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–0 Arsenal
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
FC Isloch Minsk R. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80