FC Ingolstadt 04vs
SV Wehen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Ingolstadt 04 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Ingolstadt 04 2-4 SV Wehen
Original prediction
FC Ingolstadt 04
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.4% | 40.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.5% | 29.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.1% | 30.5% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Ingolstadt 04
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
FC Ingolstadt 04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60