GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 3/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Ingolstadt 04 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Ingolstadt 04 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SSV Ulm 1846 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Ingolstadt 04 hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Ingolstadt 04 holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Ingolstadt 04

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

FC Ingolstadt 04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Ingolstadt 04LWLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SSV Ulm 1846DLLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
FC Ingolstadt 04SSV Ulm 1846
41.7Attack44.4
54.2Defence27.8
62.5Form33.3
53.5Power37.3
1.98xG1.21
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