GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/19/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Ingolstadt 04 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Ingolstadt 04 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hallescher FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Ingolstadt 04 hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the 3. Liga, while FC Ingolstadt 04 holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Ingolstadt 04

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

FC Ingolstadt 04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Ingolstadt 04LLDLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Hallescher FCLWWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC Ingolstadt 04Hallescher FC
57.0Attack43.9
55.3Defence40.4
47.4Form35.1
52.6Power42.0
2.30xG1.06
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