FC Ingolstadt 04vs
Alemannia Aachen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Ingolstadt 04 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Ingolstadt 04 0-3 Alemannia Aachen
Original prediction
FC Ingolstadt 04
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.7% | 44.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.6% | 25.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.7% | 30.3% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Ingolstadt 04
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
FC Ingolstadt 04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60