GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mjallby AIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Iberia 1999 1-1 Mjallby AIF

Original prediction

Mjallby AIF

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9931.3%30.7%-0.6 pts
Draw3.3128.3%27.7%-0.7 pts
Away2.3140.4%41.6%1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–18%

Predicted outcome

Mjallby AIF

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Mjallby AIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Iberia 1999WLWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mjallby AIFLWDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC Iberia 1999Mjallby AIF
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power88.7
1.20xG1.65
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