FC Iberia 1999vs
Jagiellonia
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Iberia 1999 1-2 Jagiellonia
Original prediction
Jagiellonia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.29 | 28.4% | 26.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26.0% | 25.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 45.6% | 47.4% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Jagiellonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00