FC Helsingorvs
Holbæk B&I
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holbæk B&I · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Helsingor 5-1 Holbæk B&I
Original prediction
Holbæk B&I
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.0% | 32.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 23.0% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.0% | 44.2% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Holbæk B&I
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Holbæk B&I has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60