FC Helsingorvs
ASA Aarhus
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Helsingor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Helsingor 2-1 ASA Aarhus
Original prediction
FC Helsingor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.8% | 51.1% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.5% | 23.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.7% | 25.0% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Helsingor
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
FC Helsingor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80