FC Halifax Townvs
Sutton Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Halifax Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Halifax Town 1-1 Sutton Utd
Original prediction
FC Halifax Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.5% | 45.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.4% | 26.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.1% | 28.5% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Halifax Town
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
FC Halifax Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60