FC Halifax Townvs
Stoke City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · National League Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Halifax Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Halifax Town 4-2 Stoke City U21
Original prediction
FC Halifax Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 76.3% | 47.7% | -28.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.23 | 14.5% | 25.2% | 10.7 pts |
| Away | 9.82 | 9.2% | 27.1% | 17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Halifax Town
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
FC Halifax Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00