FC Halifax Townvs
Hartlepool
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hartlepool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Halifax Town 1-0 Hartlepool
Original prediction
Hartlepool
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.7% | 35.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.1% | 26.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.2% | 37.7% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Hartlepool
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Hartlepool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60