FC Halifax Townvs
AFC Hornchurch
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Hornchurch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Halifax Town 3-0 AFC Hornchurch
Original prediction
AFC Hornchurch
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.3% | 36.2% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 25.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.2% | 38.1% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
AFC Hornchurch
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
AFC Hornchurch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60