FC Guterslohvs
Wiedenbrück
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gutersloh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (12%), 5-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Gutersloh 3-1 Wiedenbrück
Original prediction
FC Gutersloh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.5% | 84.2% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.4% | 9.6% | -9.8 pts |
| Away | 6.02 | 15.2% | 6.2% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–012%
- 2.5–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Gutersloh
Probability
84.2%
Model confidence
84.2%
FC Gutersloh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60