FC Guterslohvs
Sportfreunde Siegen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gutersloh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Gutersloh 0-5 Sportfreunde Siegen
Original prediction
FC Gutersloh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.2% | 66.1% | 17.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.5% | 16.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.3% | 17.5% | -12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
FC Gutersloh
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
FC Gutersloh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20