GGOALVIO

FC Gutersloh logoFC GuterslohvsHolstein Kiel logoHolstein Kiel

COMPLETED

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/12/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holstein Kiel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC Gutersloh are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Holstein Kiel are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstein Kiel hold a 52.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the DFB Pokal, while Holstein Kiel holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holstein Kiel

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Holstein Kiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC GuterslohDLWLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Holstein KielWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC GuterslohHolstein Kiel
0.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power68.0
1.63xG2.22
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