FC Gomelvs
ML Vitebsk
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Gomel 0-0 ML Vitebsk, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Gomel 1-5 ML Vitebsk
Original prediction
ML Vitebsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.87 | 24.0% | 28.7% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 28.0% | 30.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 48.0% | 41.0% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Projected Score
FC Gomel 0–0 ML Vitebsk
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
ML Vitebsk
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC GomelWWLWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ML VitebskWDDDW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC GomelML Vitebsk
47.8Attack66.7
73.9Defence73.0
56.5Form69.8
59.7Power69.9
0.80xG0.98