Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gomel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
FC Gomel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Belshina are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gomel hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 31.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.0% in the Premier League, while FC Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Gomel
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
18.0%
FC Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40