GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 3/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Gomel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FC Gomel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bate Borisov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gomel hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Premier League, while FC Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Gomel

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

FC Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC GomelWDDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Bate BorisovLWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC GomelBate Borisov
43.8Attack21.4
70.8Defence59.5
54.2Form21.4
57.8Power36.0
1.22xG0.38
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