Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gomel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FC Gomel are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arsenal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gomel hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Gomel
Probability
74.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
FC Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40