FC Gifuvs
Tochigi SC
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gifu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Gifu 4-1 Tochigi SC
Original prediction
FC Gifu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.5% | 47.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 26.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.4% | 26.7% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Gifu
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
FC Gifu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC GifuLDWWL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tochigi SCLDDWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC GifuTochigi SC
100.0Attack55.6
100.0Defence55.6
77.8Form55.6
85.4Power59.1
1.82xG1.04