FC Gifuvs
Sagamihara
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gifu · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Gifu 2-1 Sagamihara
Original prediction
FC Gifu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.5% | 48.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 24.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 28.7% | 27.0% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Gifu
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
FC Gifu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC GifuWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SagamiharaWWWDL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC GifuSagamihara
63.6Attack60.6
69.7Defence63.6
57.6Form63.6
61.5Power64.1
1.47xG1.01