FC Gifuvs
Renofa Yamaguchi
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gifu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Gifu 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi
Original prediction
FC Gifu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 37.8% | 41.9% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.1% | 28.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.1% | 29.7% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Gifu
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
FC Gifu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC GifuLWLLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Renofa YamaguchiDWWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC GifuRenofa Yamaguchi
79.2Attack45.8
66.7Defence70.8
54.2Form58.3
62.8Power59.5
1.52xG0.91